Definition and Purpose

Effect size is a quantitative measure of the magnitude of a difference or relationship. While p-values indicate whether an effect exists, effect size tells you how large that effect actually is. Common measures include Cohen's d (standardized mean difference), Pearson's r (correlation strength), and odds ratios. A statistically significant result with a tiny effect size may have no practical importance.

Why P-values Alone Are Insufficient

With a large enough sample, even trivially small differences become statistically significant. A study with 100,000 participants might find a "significant" difference of 0.1 kg in weight between two groups - real in a statistical sense but meaningless in practice.

Effect size provides the missing context. Cohen's conventions classify d = 0.2 as small, 0.5 as medium, and 0.8 as large, though what counts as meaningful depends on the domain.

Application to Ranking Differences

When a ranking shows you differ from the average, effect size thinking helps assess whether that difference matters. Being 2 percentile points above average on a health metric is statistically distinguishable from average but practically identical. Effect size helps you focus on gaps that are large enough to be worth a closer look.

Interpreting Research Claims

Headlines may report statistically significant findings without mentioning effect size. When you encounter claims like "X improves Y significantly," always ask how much. A supplement that "significantly" raises a biomarker by 1% has a negligible effect size despite the impressive-sounding language. Asking for the effect size alongside the p-value makes such claims easier to weigh.